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    Caribbean Future Series

    Caribbean Trade Deals Tracker

    Mapping existing agreements, identifying gaps, and charting the next moves for Caribbean commerce.

    Current Trade Landscape

    The Caribbean Community (CARICOM) represents 15 member states with combined GDP under $100 billion, making collective bargaining essential for meaningful trade access. Existing agreements include CARIFORUM with the European Union, various bilateral arrangements with the United States under the Caribbean Basin Initiative, and evolving relationships with Latin American trading blocs.

    Most Caribbean nations maintain preferential access to the EU market for agricultural products, particularly bananas, sugar, and rum. However, these preferences have eroded over time as the EU pursues broader trade liberalization. The United States remains the largest single trading partner for most Caribbean economies, though formal free trade agreements remain limited to select nations.

    China has emerged as a significant investor and trading partner, particularly in infrastructure and construction. This introduces new dynamics and potential dependencies that require careful navigation.

    Critical Gaps in Coverage

    Several structural gaps limit Caribbean trade potential. First, intra-regional trade remains remarkably low, typically under 15% of total trade volume. Second, services trade agreements lag behind goods agreements, despite services representing the largest sector for most Caribbean economies.

    Third, digital trade provisions in existing agreements are either absent or outdated. Fourth, investment protection frameworks vary widely between nations, creating uncertainty for potential investors. Fifth, dispute resolution mechanisms often favor larger trading partners with greater legal resources.

    The absence of a comprehensive agreement with Canada represents a notable gap, given historical ties and Canadian investment presence in the region.

    Emerging Opportunities

    The global shift toward nearshoring creates opportunities for Caribbean nations positioned between North American and European markets. Enhanced air and sea connectivity could position the region as a logistics hub for time-sensitive goods.

    Digital services present significant growth potential. Caribbean nations with strong English language skills, favorable time zones for North American clients, and improving internet infrastructure can compete for remote work opportunities in technology, customer service, and professional services.

    Green transition investments offer another avenue. Caribbean renewable energy potential, particularly solar and offshore wind, could attract investment and create export opportunities for clean energy or green hydrogen.

    Practical Playbook

    • 1Strengthen CARICOM negotiating capacity by pooling legal and economic expertise
    • 2Prioritize services and digital provisions in all new trade negotiations
    • 3Develop regional standards for investment protection to present unified terms
    • 4Build relationships with emerging economies beyond traditional partners
    • 5Create trade facilitation systems that reduce costs for small exporters

    Small Business Opportunities

    • Register with national export promotion agencies to access trade support programs
    • Explore CARIFORUM provisions for services exports to EU markets
    • Connect with diaspora business networks in major trading partner nations
    • Consider joint ventures with regional partners to meet minimum order sizes
    • Use digital platforms to reach customers in preferential access markets