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    Crisis Dashboard

    Real-time systemic risk monitoring and scenario analysis

    GSRI

    42
    Elevated

    Global Systemic Risk Index. Weighted composite of rate volatility, credit spreads, equity drawdown, currency stress, and sovereign CDS.

    Source: BIS, IMF, Federal Reserve

    RERI

    51
    Overheated

    Real Estate Risk Index. Nine weighted components including price-to-income, affordability gap, vacancy, CRE maturity exposure, and bank concentration.

    Source: OECD, Federal Reserve, Census Bureau

    CRE Maturity

    58
    Overheated

    Commercial real estate refinancing wall pressure. Measures maturity concentration from 2026 through 2028.

    Source: Trepp, MSCI Real Assets

    Bank CRE

    45
    Elevated

    Regional bank commercial real estate concentration ratio relative to capital cushion.

    Source: FDIC Call Reports, OCC

    Household

    39
    Elevated

    Household stress indicator. Composite of debt-to-income, housing cost burden, and personal savings rate.

    Source: BLS, Federal Reserve, Census

    Funding

    28
    Elevated

    Funding Stress Monitor. Tracks interbank spreads, repo rate deviations, commercial paper issuance, and private credit drawdowns.

    Source: Federal Reserve, DTCC, ICI

    CRE Maturity Wall Timeline

    Approximate distribution of commercial real estate loan maturities by year and sector.

    2026
    Office35%
    Industrial20%
    Multifamily25%
    Retail20%
    2027
    Office30%
    Industrial25%
    Multifamily28%
    Retail17%
    2028
    Office25%
    Industrial30%
    Multifamily30%
    Retail15%

    This dashboard is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. All indicators use publicly available data and simplified models. Consult qualified professionals before making financial decisions.